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Thursday, July 3, 2008

Is this innovation or just old ideas wrapped in a new packaging?

Another Online Finance PUREPLAY!!!

The company and service is called myc4 and its like Kiva+Grameen+Prosper focused exclusively on providing access to capital to African small businesses. I really like the way the service is constructed. Although you do lend directly to the small businesses, you do it through "lenders" which are local companies that set up operation on the platform. The lender takes a cut of the loan but deals with the hassles of diligencing the loan, servicing it and collecting it. I think this will bring the default rates, which are high in services like Prosper, down significantly. If you feel like loaning some money to a small business in Africa, go do it through myc4 and let me know what you think.


Industry shift is getting stronger and businesses will partner to reduce the default rate, barriers for capital flow will be absolutely ERADICATED. No more Foriegn exchange boards, money will be finally free.

Any thoughts?


Thursday, June 19, 2008

WHERE TO NEXT?

The first decade of the 21st century will be looked back as a defining decade in world history. A time when the power paradigm started shifting decidedly toward the east. A time when 3 billion people almost simultaneously had the monetary access to compete for the very limited resources of food and energy putting tremendous pressure on world markets and redefining affordability of basic luxury to an entire generation of the western world.
At this very time, America has decided to try out someone very different. The primary marathon is over and smart money bets that Barack Obama will be the new president of the USA.
Obama is something the world has never experienced in an American president. Not because he is a black man, but he was the most liberal senator in 2007, according to National Journal's 27th annual vote ratings. He is also predicted to be far more pacifist than any other president in living memory.
He is seen more as an appeaser who will try to peacefully find solutions by talking to all and sundry unlike his predecessor who in hindsight behaved like a trigger happy Texan.
The contrast between Bush and Obama cannot be starker. And this is the reason why many believe America is going through an identity crisis.
Where do we fit in?
We are no longer the driving engines of the world economy.
After Iraq, we are no longer the moral crusader of liberty.
NATO and the UN, the 2 most powerful world organizations of the 20th century, once dominated by America, are mere shadows of their peak.
It seems that the rest of the world is on steroids and is zooming past us, while we struggle to keep up with our mortgage payments and gas bills.

Coming to the question I want to ask.
Where to next?
What does the, at least 4 years of Obama presidency, mean?
What will be the future role of America in the changing geopolitical scenario?
How will America react to its diminishing role as the undisputed world leader, to be one of many leading countries competing for attention and influence?
And the MOST IMPORTANT QUESTION OF ALL, how are all these changes going to affect our everyday lives?

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Are you spending your time the right way (Prudence!!!)?





I read this article this morning and thinking since then, how can I do it better. Figured, I will share it with you guys as well, it looks like a great conversation starter. We all go through this problem sometime or the other, any and all suggestions & comments are welcome.


Are You Spending Your Time the Right Way?


Posted by Melissa Raffoni on April 23, 2008 12:38 PM


Here's a three-step plan for allocating your time wisely—and strategically.


by Melissa Raffoni


Though most managers understand intellectually that time is their scarcest resource, few make the effort to gain a strategic perspective on how they spend their hours each week. Still fewer make a regular practice of keeping track of how the priorities they say are most important jibe with the way they actually spend their time. "Those we label natural born leaders know how to leverage their time," writes Warren Blank in The 108 Skills of Natural Born Leaders (Amacom, 2001). For those in whom this talent is not innate, here's how to do it.


1. Break your responsibilities into categories


The categories will vary depending on your job function, but they must be both strategic and tactical—identify not more than six. Consider, for example, the following:


• Growth and improvement. This category focuses on opportunities, not on crises, and it's often the one in which the added value you bring to your company is the greatest. The challenge is to keep the time allotted to these high-leverage activities sacrosanct—don't let pressing but less important needs crowd them out.


• Managing people. You may want to break this category into managing up, managing across, and managing down. Managers are well aware that coaching and mentoring enable them to maximize their leverage, but especially in times of belt tightening, it helps to be reminded that you can't create efficiencies without upward and lateral alignment. Moreover, everyone agrees that communication is critical, but how many people actually plan time for it? In your haste to make your numbers, don't let your communication—in any of these three directions—falter.


• Primary day-to-day responsibilities. Depending on your role, this area could also be subdivided—say, into selling and delivering services.


• Administration. This includes necessary chores ranging from assessing resource needs to interviewing job candidates to responding to e-mail. Get ready for a shock when you add the numbers.


2. Ask yourself what percentage of your time you should be spending in each category


Before you assign percentages, Blank advises that you ask yourself this question: "Given what I truly want to accomplish today as a leader, what will be the best use of my time?" To answer, factor in the competing claims on your time: the activities that enable you to generate the most leverage, the company's strategic priorities, and the short-term needs of your supervisors, direct reports, and customers. Once you've assigned percentages, translate them into hourly figures for each category. Is the total number of hours realistic and sustainable for the time frame you're considering? To be useful, your time allocations may need to change quarterly, monthly, or even weekly.


3. Check for alignment with your superiors and colleagues


Run your time allocations by your manager and key colleagues; ask them to share theirs, if possible. Sharing time allocations with a team gives a group focus and cohesion.


Managing your time


Now that you have a plan for leveraging your time, all you need to do is be ruthless in your execution of it.


Audit your time.


Take out last week's calendar, and evaluate it using your newly established time allocations for each category. This will give you a sense of how much adjustment will be necessary going forward. Record how you spend your time in a time-management log—for many, this very discipline is half the battle. Here's a sample time-management log from a consultant:




"The last time I kept a time log, I was surprised to learn that, when I am in the office, I spend almost half of my time on the telephone, either taking calls or leaving messages for people who aren't available," writes Elaine Biech in The Consultant's Quick Start Guide: An Action Plan for Your First Year in Business (Jossey-Bass/Pfeiffer, 2001).


Time audits, says Blank, can also "reveal when and how you get distracted from things that matter." For instance, is multitasking really helping you? This skill is regularly held up as the sine qua non of modern-day managerial aptitudes, but a 2001 study by Joshua Rubinstein, David Meyer, and Jeffrey Evans indicates that people experience something akin to writer's block whenever they have to switch tasks. The more complicated the task you're switching from or to, the greater the time cost, that is, the longer it takes you to shift over to the new task, adopt its mindset, and then get warmed up again once you return to the original task. All told, the study estimates, these switching costs could reduce a company's efficiency by 20% to 40%.


Practice time-boxing.


To-do lists will be only marginally useful if you don't set parameters for how much time to devote to each task. When you make your list, carefully estimate the time each task will take, and box it into your calendar. This discipline not only will help you finish your list, but it also will improve your ability to estimate time and manage expectations of those around you. Particularly if you are in a new position or are confronting new tasks, ask for help estimating the time for each task—otherwise, you run the risk of missing deadlines and mismanaging expectations.


Pay attention to the areas where you're weakest.


If you always delegate the tasks you don't do well, your weak points will haunt you. Acknowledge your weaknesses, but use structure to shore them up. For example, many managers have difficulty saying no to colleagues who make impromptu requests for their time. Let these people know your priorities for leveraging your time and encourage them to schedule meetings with you.


"Most people manage their lives by crises," writes Stephen Covey in Principle-Centered Leadership(Summit Books, 1991). "The only priority setting they do is between one problem and another." But effective managers focus on opportunities, he adds, and they structure their schedules accordingly. "Unless something more important—not something more urgent—comes along, we must discipline ourselves to do as we planned."


Melissa Raffoni is president of Raffoni CEO Consulting. She specializes in helping CEOs and senior executives improve their effectiveness and the performance of their companies.


This article appeared in the July 2006 issue of Harvard Management Update.




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Monday, April 21, 2008

Twitter in Plain English

This is Twitter in plain english by the guys at Common Craft. The presentation is definately neet, but the important thing is that it shows us a new way to Micro Blog or INTERACTING. This is just a followup to the previous post that i added yesterday. The more i use these channels, the more fascinated i get, and come to realize that where have i been for so so long. I should have made the effort to understand this revolution many years ago. In any case, social graphing or social networking is growing and evolving at a much faster rate today than it was just a couple of years ago. So Better late than never.

Sunday, April 20, 2008

Blogging vs. Facebook

I read a post today by Fred Wilson which talked about the topic at hand Wordpress VS. FACEBOOK. If he replaces wordpress by blogging, then I agree with a lot of observations that he makes about the platform and how instrumental Blogging in revolutionizing the web and forming WEB 2.0. I am not an authority on valuations or can claim that Microsoft (MSFT) has over-valued Facebook (which btw I do believe), but claiming that wordpress is more valuable than facebook is not digestible.

Fred bluntly puts that Blogging is for a mature audience and FB is for young folks, however, by its very nature, the blog posts & blogging sites are content storing houses, maybe in form content managers along with the blogger, but rarely act as a medium of conversation. Whereas, facebook is an evolution of blogging itself, just like tublr, youtube, podcasting etc., only FB has been able to make it so easy while making it cool and in the process assimilated a lot of services, from photo sharing (which it is the largest depository) to various platforms for sharing thoughts & everyday life's most simple things like what music 'iLike', Videos (like from YouTube or any other network), Wall posts 'Super Wall or Fun Wall'. Hence, FB gives the opportunity to have conversations in the simplest forms like we experience them in real life, rather than the involvement of writing blog posts to engage the readers. Blogging as I see it, an expression of any kind, be it in writing as citizen journalists on wordpress, or creating an edited video which is put on youtube, or maybe podcasting via itunes itself. FB has designed the medium to combine these and given the opportunity to developers to create many other small applications to personalize the conversations & make them true INTERACTIONS.

My position here is not act as a FB evangelist, but give it an equal ground. I thought that his post was one sided and wanted to see if other people agreed with him or not (like me). Also, in this process, read a book that I recommend, recently published by Haward Business Press, Groundswell: Winning in a world transformed by Social Media (the link for getting it from Amazon is below).


Tuesday, April 1, 2008

ENOUGH about saving money!!! It is true, I can't seem to save money, then why bother writing about it. I thought I if I wrote about it would help me get things in perspective, even though it didn't help me get my expenses in perspective, I understood one thing. EARN MORE MONEY!!!

I am really not prudent – hence the title PRUDENT V R NOT…..

I, however, do have burning desire to earn money and not think about cutting my expenses, but so does the rest of the world. What am I doing to achieve this goal? How will I achieve this goal? More importantly, will I achieve this goal? I can tell you not that answer to the last one is a resounding YES. For the rest of the questions, it is work in progress.

I am watching Donny Deutsch's BIG IDEA, reading Rich Dad Poor Dad, trying to understand WEB 2.0 (which btw people call an oxymoron), and trying to figure out that next small thing which can propel me into the big league. However, answer everyday is the same, that there is no answer. There are some extremely good ideas, but someone is either doing it, or has done it and failed miserably on it. Hence, one solution could be do it better, or create something that will change the structure of the marketplace itself. In doing so, I need to identify the problem that I am solving – CLEARLY. This is WHY the customer will come to me and only me no one else. The problem should be simple and clear, for me to understand so that a solution can be prepared, yet of some substance to the final user for them to push for it.

Where should I look for substance?

Should it be in the industry that I am in already? It makes sense as I would seem to know most about this industry and then have colleagues who critic something if I brought out a new idea.

Should it be in a new industry? I believe that entrepreneurs have no boundaries, they seem to understand business and as long as one has the common sense and some aptitude of learning, one can succeed in any field.

If New Industry, which one? Internet is the easiest choice, with the wave of new applications coming into the market with WEB 2.0 it seems that the market is insatiable. The valuations that you see of some of these companies seem unprecedented. I don't discount the fact that GOOGLE has done well for itself, but not all going to be google. There are marketplaces like adonomics providing valuations to applications which in the real world would never ever have a chance to find a seller. Although, it is a great way to promote entrepreneurship, because these numbers are the ones that entice people like me to think more and more to get into this industry. Venture funds especially formed for Web 2.0.

If Internet is the obvious choice (so I think, and I might just be wrong) then what do I got to offer. I being an entrepreneur not a technocrat, I deal in finance, apparel & fashion industry, what can I do on the internet that would inherently change the structure of the markets there. Maybe using the internet in its new form, there is a way to change the nature / structure of the markets in the real world in industries like finance or fashion or any other industry that we are part of.

Sunday, March 30, 2008

How to save more money?

The dilemma of ‘Saving more’ has two inherent questions, reduce expenses or make more money. Reducing expenses means that cutting down on frivolous expenses; this could mean eating at restaurants every other night, buying clothing that is not required, or maybe just taking public transport instead of your own car everyday to work. If we look hard we will definitely find frivolous expenditure, however, we often find ourselves in situations where in reducing expenses is no more an option. If after cutting down all expenses that are ‘frivolous’, we still find ourselves living paycheck to paycheck and not saving any money, we must ask what is are we doing wrong, answer: we are not earning enough money to save but only enough to live.

Take a look at some of the developing economies, such as India, China or Brazil, you would notice that savings rate is huge with comparison to some of the developed economies. This is not to say that these people are more prudent that the rest, it is the requirement of the times. There are no social structures in place to help a family if the bread earner of the family falls sick or dies, for example, health insurances are now being introduced and not even to full extend, they form a ceiling of the medical expenses that are allowed to be paid. Hence, the family has to depend on the savings to facilitate the process. Now this is an extreme example, however, many socio-economic benefits that one takes for granted in the developed world do not exist in the developing world. However, we must learn from this, savings help these families survive turbulent times, if they have lost their jobs, health problems, disability etc. Our world is also going through turbulent times and we are looking at safety nets that have been established. Why not create our own safety net?

We need to set our goals higher than just earning enough to live by; otherwise, we will never have anything to hold on if ‘tragedy’ strikes. We need to earn more money!!!

How do we earn more money?

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

What one must do?

Your question “what one must do?” is unfortunately being asked after the water has already passed under the bridge. The house is bought, interest rate has ballooned, equity has vanished as the house has lost more than 15% in value, and new loan standards are more stringent than of old, so a second loan isn’t possible. Right now all you can do is cut down all other expenses, take a second job and pay your bills, so you don’t lose your house. However, the correct approach, I feel is given by Robert Kiyosaki in his best seller “Rich Dad, Poor Dad”.It talks about 2 approaches to money.

Case 1- Is a guy earning, let’s say, 100K. He is a prudent guy, got a wife, 2kids, a dog and a house in Westchester. Wife works part time and also gets an additional 25K. Unfortunately even after grossing 125K, this family has no savings. Not because of lack of prudence. Where does he cut?
1) His house? He lives in a 3 bedroom apartment. He either lives here in a good school district and pays a premium for housing or goes to a cheaper area but pays private school fees.
2) They go out once a week as a family. Kids need outings.
3) They take once a year small week off vacation. Again, kids need a break.
4) All other expenses are on the kids incidentals. From new toys, to clothes, to school trips. You cant really cut out anything.
5) They have one decent van which is needed to ferry the kids around.
6) Both commute to work using public transport
7) They shop at Costco to save on household expenses.

So in short they do everything they can. But are still not saving. This is called the expense approach. This family has fixed income, fixed expense, no income generating asset. Now let’s talk about

Case 2 This is a guy who has planned his expenses before they incur.His planning started 12 years ago when he started earning money. That time his expenses were minimal. Lived with a roommate and paid 400$ as rent, basically after all incidentals, his total spending was 1000$ a month.Rest of the money he started putting away in income generating assets.This guy started at 50K, after all taxes and expenses, at the end of the year, he saved about 25K which he used as a 20% down payment on a small investment apartment which generated enough rent to cover payments on a mortgage and maintenance. A couple of years later he married and they decided to buy a small apartment with a larger down payment with the savings of both. Both of them worked full time and they earned total about 100K. They made sure that one income was sufficient to cover the mortgage of the apt they lived in and their other expenses, so that they could use the other income for investing.They always treated their primary residence as a non income generating asset and always looked out for investment opportunities which generated long term income.They invested some in stocks, some in other rental properties and slowly over next five years they built up an asset portfolio.They were now ready for a baby.Their assets were now generating a positive cash flow of around 2000$ a month so they decided to buy another larger primary residence after selling the old, putting the entire equity of the old house (which was sizable as they had bought with large % down+ they were paying down some principal over 5 years + there was a small upward valuation in their value) into a large % down payment of the new home so that their net mortgage + maintenance worked out to only $2000 monthly.They knew the wife would stop working so they didn’t want the house to become a burden. They were paying for this non performing asset using the net cash flow of the performing assets.The husband’s income was growing and they were still able to save money, which they continued to invest in either their other assets or bought new performing assets.They always planned for their expenses, (a kid is an expense) and made sure they didn’t commit to an expense till they had income generating for it. This is in gist what this guy talks about in his book.
1) Understand the difference in performing and non performing assets.
2) Strive towards building a performing asset portfolio
3) Commit to expenditure only off income generated through your performing assets
4) Use your primary income (your salary or your business) to buy other performing assets.
5) Treat your non performing asset as a liability and expenditure.

Your primary residence is an example of this. This is the way to not get into the trap of what you ask. All this is doable. But you must have a correct approach to money. Expenses are bound to happen, you can’t stop them. We work hard to live well. We all moved from our homeland to America to live better.So why stop spending? Instead, decide on what you want to spend, and think about ways to generate income so that you can continue spending and living the way you want to.
I am a complete consumerist and a capitalist at heart. So take what I write, accordingly.

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Discipline!!!

Going back to Basics. Gaurav eloquently describes the fierce urgency of now. This urgency is the reason for our Successes and Failures. Basics are the virtues instilled from our parents, which we have forgotten in the Urgency of Now. We need to go back and re-educate ourselves and this time it is not going to be easy. Discipline is one of these virtues and self discipline is required to re-educate oneself in this art.

Self discipline is the training one gives themselves to accomplish a task or adopt a pattern or behavior even though one would rather be doing something else. Similarly, denying oneself the urge to buy the 55” Flat panel available on financing by Circuit City and using the funds to pay off the debt is definitely a good example. This is required in every aspect of our lives, and requires the WILLPOWER to do something. I was hearing an interesting piece by Dr. Sanjay Gupta on CNN when he talked about developing self control. Dr. Sanjay Gupta writes, “The good news is, there are solutions to all of these problems. Baumeister thinks the self-control muscle may be strengthened and trained — sometimes beginning with exercises as simple as remembering to sit straighter or drink enough water. Specific workout plans, like scheduling a gym visit with friends, can turn a general desire to exercise into a firm commitment” invariably advising us to be pro-active and not being stuck to the couch.

Monday, March 17, 2008

From a Friend to a Friend

Our times are increasingly complicated and tensed by our own undoings, among the actions of environment. However, in patching up existent holes we must not forget to not dig new holes, which will invariably be bigger and deeper than before. Our times indicate the fierce urgency of now. To same perusal it might actually be somewhat prudent to take a moment, breath a little, re-evaluate everything that we value in comparison to everything we should really be valuing.

Go back to basics and there is only where odds are acting in our favor to win a lottery, and nowhere else. Expenses are merely that: expenses, standards of yesterday, today and tomorrow must in all circumstance reflect a conservative ratio of our own fiscal capacities and not our perceived social, or for that matter real standings. Real social environment will value us for what we are, as much as for what we are not, but most importantly for what we have the potential to be.

From a real friend to a very real friend.

Friday, March 14, 2008

Prudent we are not!!!

As responsible & fiscally sound as we think we are, we find ourselves often in situations where in all our wits, prudence and wisdom are washed out by the decisions we are forced to take due to the overbearing situations that have caught up with us. In today’s environment, the first thing people relate to is the pressure of mortgage payments, we don’t want our houses to go away. Maybe the decision to take the house was not bad, which cost more than one could afford, but the 2 year arm mortgage, made the payments low and it seemed that this was the best investment. Whereas no one knew that 2 years down the line, the property market would crash, credit would tighten and monthly payments would increase more than 15%, as the rate of interest would suddenly rise from 6.5% to 8.5% or more. Now, no refinance is possible, as the equity has suddenly vanished (even the down payment one had put while buying the house), income is not high enough to the stringent standards of today and of course, credit is not 800. What one must do???